German Chancellor Angela Merkel will not seek re-election as the chair of her party in December, she reportedly announced to colleagues on Monday morning, kickstarting a race for her successor.
Merkel’s decision does not mean she will cease to be Germany’s leader in December. Whoever succeeds her as party chair of the ruling Christian Democratic Union (CDU), however, will likely be allowed to use the position to increase their public profile before the next general election in 2021. In the meantime, Merkel is expected to eventually bow out of German frontline politics.
Although Merkel’s current roles of party chair and Chancellor are customarily held by the same person, it is not a legal necessity. She has been chair since 2000, and Germany’s leader since 2005.
A regional election in the German state of Hesse on Sunday yielded poor results for Merkel’s CDU and her coalition partners the Social Democratic Party, (SDP,) both of whom lost 10% compared to the last election. It is the latest in a line of weak performances for parties in Merkel’s ruling coalition, signalling a broader shift in German politics.
In Bavarian elections on Oct. 15, Merkel’s coalition partner the CSU lost its majority in the regional parliament for the first time since 1957.
And in both Bavaria and Hesse, the anti-immigrant Alternative For Germany (AfD) party vote surged, benefiting from voters unimpressed by Merkel’s 2015 decision to allow more than one million asylum seekers to settle in Germany.
Merkel has been in a difficult position since September 2017, when a national election left her party without an overall majority. It was not until March 2018 that a government was finally formed, when the SPD agreed to enter a coalition. She faced a further crisis over the summer, when her Bavarian coalition partners threatened to pull out unless she pushed for stricter policies on immigration at the E.U. level.
The results of the October elections in Bavaria and Hesse will be seen as a bellwether for the entire nation. Germany has become accustomed in recent years to governance by broad-based coalitions, but Merkel’s troubles indicate the political center ground is shrinking.
The decision to stand down from the CDU chairmanship signifies Merkel—who has been chancellor since 2005—is aware her time at the top of German politics is nearing its end.
